Empirical extinction risk

About this Event

Professor Ben Groom will present new research on empirical approaches to estimating species extinction risk. How do we measure the risk of species extinction, and how can this information guide environmental policy and investment decisions? For over four decades, the IUCN has assessed the conservation status of thousands of species, categorising them from Least Concern to Critically Endangered and Extinct. In this lecture, Professor Ben Groom will present new research that estimates the likelihood of species moving between conservation categories and ultimately becoming extinct. Drawing on more than four decades of IUCN conservation assessments, the research develops a Markov switching model to estimate extinction probabilities over different time horizons and examine…

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