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National Security Dialogue | Diffusion and Disruption: Emerging Technologies, Non-State Actors and the Changing Distribution of Advanced Capabilities

Defense & SecurityTechnology & Society

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Artificial Intelligence AI , autonomous systems, commercial drones, cyber tools and synthetic media were until recently framed mainly as instruments of state power, used for surveillance, precision strike, electronic warfare and information operations. That framing no longer holds. These technologies are cheap, dual use, and widely available, and non state actors terrorist organisations, insurgents, cybercriminal syndicates, and organised criminal groups leverage them for kinetic and non kinetic ends: strikes, smuggling, reconnaissance, cyber intrusion, fraud, recruitment, and propaganda. According to IBM’s AI developer threat intelligence report, the distinguishing feature between classes of threat actors is no longer sophistication but intent, since AI now gives non…

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